Thursday, January 14, 2010

Victory is Near: Scott Brown Cuts into Soft Underbelly of MA Democrat Party

If Scott Brown becomes the next Senator from MA it will be a victory of historic significance for the GOP and - according to Newt Gingrich - the death of health care reform.

Personally, I've done what ever I could to help Brown including mentioning him in my Tweets and spreading the address of a site that provides him with secure on-line donations. See,, we was able to raise about $1.3 million dollars, on-line, in just one day.

I thought he was a long-shot until I saw one poll showing him ahead by one-point among likely voters. The most accurate view of the race probably comes from Scott Rasmussen. Rasmussen Reports shows Brown trailing his Democrat challenger by only two percentage points. If Rasmussen only counts those who are expressing virtual certainty that they will vote on Tuesday, then Brown wins by one percentage point.

The bottom line is that Brown's opponent ran way to the left of her primary challengers. She expresses the sort of extremist views than make people nervous, like suggesting that Al Queda is no longer in Afghanistan. In a humorous demonstration of incompetence, Brown's opponent spelled the name of their state as Massachusettes. Meanwhile, Brown is racking up an impressive list of newspaper endorsements, celebrity endorsements, and police union endorsements.

As for me, I'll be Tweeting about this campaign in the expectation that this election may be decided by only one vote.

John C. Drew, Ph.D. is an award-winning political scientist.

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